2013年1月9日星期三

Fitch Affirms Sun Life Financial Inc.'s Ratings; Outlook Negative


Fitch Ratings has affirmed the ratings of Sun Life Financial Inc. (TSE, NYSE: SLF) including all outstanding issues, as well as the Insurer Financial Strength (IFS) ratings of SLF's primary Canadian insurance subsidiaries at 'AA-'. The Rating Outlook is Negative. The 'A-' IFS ratings of SLF's U.S. life insurance subsidiaries remain on Rating Watch Negative. A complete list of ratings follows at the end of this release.

The Negative Outlook reflects the risk that SLF's earnings will remain volatile and the company may be unable to generate run-rate operating earnings and debt service capacity that is supportive of the current rating level. Fitch would view the completion of the sale of Sun Life Assurance Company of Canada (U.S.) and Sun Life Insurance & Annuity Co. of New York to Delaware Life Holdings, a company owned by shareholders of Guggenheim Partners as a positive for SLF. The U.S. annuity business has historically been a drag on overall earnings since 2008 as well as a significant consumer of capital.

Fitch believes SLF's ability to improve its run-rate operating earnings will depend in part on how the company deploys the proceeds from the sale. Fitch's expectation is that a significant portion will be used to fund acquisitions to grow its U.S. employee benefits business, Asian insurance operations or its investment management business. Currently, SLF's U.S. employee benefits business and Asian operations are not yet significant contributors to overall profitability so well executed acquisitions could improve the company's diversification of earnings. However, Fitch's primary concern is that an ill-timed or poorly executed acquisition would negatively impact operating earnings and debt service coverage.

SLF reported operating net income of CAD1.2 billion in the first nine months of 2012 as the net impact of market factors was minimal. Full year 2011 operating net income was CAD104 million and included a number of one-time charges and the unfavorable impact from declines in equity markets and interest rate levels. While SLF has taken a number of steps to improve profitability including increasing its interest rate hedging and exiting certain lines of business, Fitch believes earnings remain susceptible to continued low interest rates. SLF expects net income for the 2013-2015 period to be reduced by CAD500 million if current interest rate levels persist through the end of 2015.

The affirmation of the ratings reflects SLF's strong capitalization; disciplined investment strategies that have resulted in strong liquidity and solid asset quality; and the company's leading market position in Canada, growth prospects for emerging Asian markets and relatively stable performance in U.S. mutual funds. Offsetting these positives are the company's higher levels of operating debt issued from the parent company than many peers, low debt service capacity and sizable common shareholder dividends.

Financial leverage was 17% at Sept. 31, 2012. Fitch views SLF's debt service capacity on a Canadian IFRS earnings basis, excluding the impact of equity markets and interest rates, of approximately 6 times (x) during the first nine months of 2012 and 3x in 2011 as volatile for the rating level and below historical levels above 9x. However, Fitch believes that under Canadian regulations, SLF has greater flexibility to upstream dividends from operating subsidiaries without regulatory approval than do most U.S. peers.
Fitch believes that SLF is well-capitalized on a risk-adjusted basis, with the minimum continuing capital and surplus requirement (MCCSR) for Sun Life Assurance Company of Canada of 213% at Sept. 30, 2012. The sale of the U.S. annuity business is not expected to have an impact on MCCSR.

The IFS ratings of SLF's U.S. life subsidiaries remain on Rating Watch Negative. Resolution of the Rating Watch will occur following further discussions with management and completion of the sale and will likely result in a downgrade of the IFS ratings by at least one notch. Absent discussions with Guggenheim Partners, the ratings will be withdrawn.

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